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PL

Planet Labs PBC Y

M3: CapEx Intensive Avoid (59)
33.66
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
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1Y Target
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3Y Target
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0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

🔴 Avoid
59.2 /100
🏗️ Structural 31.2 /40
Quality Score: 78.0 × 0.4
W-SCALE Economies of Scale

Massive scale provides structural cost advantage.

M3 Methodology: M3

Utilization-driven leverage

W-IRREPRODUCIBLE Moat: W-IRREPRODUCIBLE

Physical scarcity, regulatory permission, or living data moat

G-FOUNDER Governance: G-FOUNDER

Founder-led with high ownership

H-DILUTION Serial Diluter

Shares outstanding increased by 11.7% YoY.

S-I3 Stack: S-I3

Sovereign supply chain hardening

🌊 Thematic 18.0 /30
Strong Conviction (18.0 pts)
T4 Tailwind: T4

Sovereign resilience & energy security

CAT-2 AI Data Infrastructure Monetization

As an AI-B positioned entity (S-I3), the company is well-placed to benefit from increasing demand for geospatial data in AI training and inference models.

CAT-1 Earnings Performance Alpha

A consistent track record of 4 consecutive earnings beats suggests management conservative guidance and strong operational execution.

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

T10 Tailwind: T10

Non-tech AI adoption J-curve inflection

C4 Cycle: C4

Supply/demand pricing power

RISK-3 Valuation and Upside Constraint

The current stock price of $34.67 is nearly aligned with the analyst mean target of $35.00, suggesting limited near-term capital appreciation potential.

RISK-1 EPS Growth Deceleration

Analyst estimates project EPS growth to slow from 0.0% in the current quarter to -6.7% in the next quarter, indicating a temporary profitability headwind.

C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

RISK-2 Significant Insider Liquidation

Bearish insider sentiment is evidenced by $32,180,664 in total sell value against a negligible $313 in buy value over the last 6 months.

Tactical 10.0 /30
✓ Cycle Tailwind (+10)
V-WIDE-MOAT Wide Moat

Durable competitive advantage supports higher terminal growth.

Overview

Planet Labs operates a massive constellation of Earth-imaging nanosatellites that provide daily imagery of the entire global landmass. The company serves as a primary data provider for government, agricultural, and environmental sectors requiring high-frequency geospatial intelligence.

Market Cap 12.00B
P/E (TTM)
Rev Growth 0.4%
Gross Margin
CEO: Dr. William Spencer Marshall
Sector: Industrials • Aerospace & Defense

Investment Thesis

🎯 AI Data Infrastructure Monetization via high-frequency geospatial datasets

While an extreme imbalance in insider sentiment—marked by $32,180,664 in sell value against just $313 in buys—suggests internal skepticism, Planet Labs provides an irreproducible data layer for the AI infrastructure stack. Although EPS growth is expected to contract to -6.7% in the coming quarter, the company’s 41.0% year-over-year revenue expansion indicates that demand for its proprietary imagery remains high. The current valuation reflects a market that has largely accounted for this growth, as the $34.67 share price sits nearly flush with the $35.00 analyst mean target.

Bear 18.00
Bull 40.00

🕵️ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2026-04-08 Sell 2.6M
2026-04-08 Sell 7M
2026-04-06 Sell 1.8M
2026-04-06 Sell 5.2M
2026-02-03 Buy 313.20

🔭 Quarterly Summary

Planet Labs demonstrated strong top-line performance with 41.0% year-over-year revenue growth and 6.8% sequential growth. The company maintains a robust gross margin of 54.2% and a positive TTM FCF margin of 16.7%. Positioned as an S-I3 information infrastructure provider with an AI-B classification, management is leveraging satellite data to capitalize on tailwinds T4, T6, and T10. Despite the revenue momentum, sequential growth shows signs of moderation compared to annual figures.

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates